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Wrong

Why Experts* Keep Failing Us--and How to Know When Not to Trust Them (*Scientists, Finance Wizards, Doctors, Relationship Gurus, Celebrity CEOs, High-Powered Consultants, Health Officials and More)

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1 of 1 copy available
1 of 1 copy available
Our investments are devastated, obesity is epidemic, test scores are in decline, blue-chip companies circle the drain, and popular medications turn out to be ineffective and even dangerous. What happened? Didn't we listen to the scientists, economists and other experts who promised us that if we followed their advice all would be well?
Actually, those experts are a big reason we're in this mess. And, according to acclaimed business and science writer David H. Freedman, such expert counsel usually turns out to be wrong — often wildly so. Wrong reveals the dangerously distorted ways experts come up with their advice, and why the most heavily flawed conclusions end up getting the most attention-all the more so in the online era.
But there's hope: Wrong spells out the means by which every individual and organization can do a better job of unearthing the crucial bits of right within a vast avalanche of misleading pronouncements.
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    • Publisher's Weekly

      April 5, 2010
      Freedman (coauthor of A Perfect Mess
      ) makes the case that scientists, finance wizards, relationship gurus, health researchers, and other supposed authorities are as likely to be wrong as right. Drawing from personal interviews with experts on experts, he leads the reader on a merry chase down the road of skepticism, uncovering conflicting solutions to how to sleep better, lose weight, avoid heart attacks, build a financial nest egg, lower cholesterol, etc. In accessible language, Freedman explains the flaws that all too easily worm their way into research, including deliberate fudging of data and downright fraud. Fellow journalists, more interested in flashy copy than accuracy, come in for their share of the blame. Google and other Internet search engines add to the problem, sending unfounded “facts” to millions of computer users. Fortunately, after pulling the rug from under the reader's feet on every imaginable topic—from the relationship of body fat to dementia, the effect of Tylenol on dogs, and how to prevent inflation, Freedman provides 11 “never-fail” rules for not being misled—but of course, he admits, he could be wrong.

    • Kirkus

      April 15, 2010
      A revealing look at the fallibility of"experts," and tips on how to glean facts from the mass of published misinformation.

      Science and business journalist Freedman (Corps Business: The 30 Management Principles of the U.S. Marines, 2000, etc.) begins with the assertion that, statistically, as many as two-thirds of all published studies may be wrong. Medicine, business, economics, social science—no matter the source, area of discipline or director, almost every study is subject to the same variety of factors that contribute to a high percentage of inaccuracy. These include lack of oversight, careless data entry and other forms of human error, as well as more corrupt factors like bias, pandering to a certain audience, manipulating data to achieve a desired outcome, suppressing mistakes to retain funding or earn tenure and industry influence. In addition, the media can distort information, as journals are more interested in publishing new and positive study results to move newsstand copies, and reporters are reluctant to fact-check scientists. The Internet exacerbates error by making information readily accessible, but not necessarily filtered by its reliability and the proliferation of"informal experts" online only blurs the line between fact and presumption. The result is an environment in which many studies get attention, making it difficult for the average information consumer to tell which studies are accurate and which aren't—especially when many studies on the same topic contradict each other. More dangerously, Freedman points out that medical research, especially on prescription drugs, is based on animal testing that often produces misleading or outright harmful results. Even randomized controlled trials, considered to be the"gold standard" of clinical studies, often yield wrong information. So what can we believe? The author includes"simple never-fail rules for not being misled by experts,""characteristics of expert advice we should ignore," etc., to help guide readers toward right information. In good humor, he also includes an appendix detailing"the ways this entire book might be wrong."

      Informative and engaging, if not groundbreaking news to more cynical readers.

      (COPYRIGHT (2010) KIRKUS REVIEWS/NIELSEN BUSINESS MEDIA, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.)

    • Publisher's Weekly

      July 26, 2010
      Freedman explores how people are so quick to accept expert advice and why it so often steers them off course, whether it's on the economy, the environment, diet. He breaks down how information is gathered and how probabilities are marketed as "truths." The nuanced text is in good hands with George K. Wilson, a seasoned narrator of nonfiction audiobooks. His deep and congenial voice allows listeners to easily enjoy his performance and understand the material. His cadence and emphasis also help listeners through sometimes rather technical passages that a less experienced narrator might not be able to communicate as effectively. A Little, Brown hardcover (Reviews, Apr. 5).

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