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The Devil We Know

Dealing with the New Iranian Superpower

ebook
2 of 2 copies available
2 of 2 copies available
Over the past thirty years, while the United States has turned either a blind or dismissive eye, Iran has emerged as a nation every bit as capable of altering America’s destiny as traditional superpowers Russia and China. Indeed, one of this book’s central arguments is that, in some ways, Iran’s grip on America’s future is even tighter.
As ex–CIA operative Robert Baer masterfully shows, Iran has maneuvered itself into the elite superpower ranks by exploiting Americans’ false perceptions of what Iran is—by letting us believe it is a country run by scowling religious fanatics, too preoccupied with theocratic jostling and terrorist agendas to strengthen its political and economic foundations.
The reality is much more frightening—and yet contained in the potential catastrophe is an implicit political response that, if we’re bold enough to adopt it, could avert disaster.
Baer’s on-the-ground sleuthing and interviews with key Middle East players—everyone from an Iranian ayatollah to the king of Bahrain to the head of Israel’s internal security—paint a picture of the centuries-old Shia nation that is starkly the opposite of the one normally drawn. For example, Iran’s hate-spouting President Ahmadinejad is by no means the true spokesman for Iranian foreign policy, nor is Iran making it the highest priority to become a nuclear player.
Even so, Baer has discovered that Iran is currently engaged in a soft takeover of the Middle East, that the proxy method of war-making and co-option it perfected with Hezbollah in Lebanon is being exported throughout the region, that Iran now controls a significant portion of Iraq, that it is extending its influence over Jordan and Egypt, that the Arab Emirates and other Gulf States are being pulled into its sphere, and that it will shortly have a firm hold on the world’s oil spigot.
By mixing anecdotes with information gleaned from clandestine sources, Baer superbly demonstrates that Iran, far from being a wild-eyed rogue state, is a rational actor—one skilled in the game of nations and so effective at thwarting perceived Western colonialism that even rival Sunnis relish fighting under its banner.
For U.S. policy makers, the choices have narrowed: either cede the world’s most important energy corridors to a nation that can match us militarily with its asymmetric capabilities (which include the use of suicide bombers)—or deal with the devil we know. We might just find that in allying with Iran, we’ll have increased not just our own security but that of all Middle East nations.The alternative—to continue goading Iran into establishing hegemony over the Muslim world—is too chilling to contemplate.
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    • Publisher's Weekly

      July 14, 2008
      Former CIA operative Baer (See No Evil
      ) challenges the conventional wisdom regarding Iran in this timely and provocative analysis, arguing that Iran has already “half-won” its undeclared 30-year war with the United States and is rapidly becoming a superpower. In Baer's analysis, Iran has succeeded by using carefully vetted proxies such as Hezbollah and by appealing across the Muslim sectarian divide to Sunni Arabs, and is well on its way to establishing an empire in the Persian Gulf. Baer claims that since “Iran's dominance in the Middle East is a fait accompli,” the United States has no viable choice but to ask for a truce and enter into negotiations prepared to drop sanctions against Iran and accept a partition of Iraq, which is already, and irretrievably, lost. Baer's assumptions are often questionable—most tellingly that Iran is now trustworthy—and his conclusions premature: he states unequivocally, for example, that “the Iranians have annexed the entire south .” But his brief adds an important perspective to a crucial international debate.

    • Booklist

      September 1, 2008
      Baer, the former CIA agent turned best-selling author (Sleeping with the Devil, 2003), is such a talented, clear-thinking writer that this book, which tackles a complex issue of global political import, is a genuine pleasure to read. His thesis, which is sure to elicit controversy from some sides (but also enthusiastic agreement from others), is that Iran, far from being the commonly perceived medieval throwback harboring an irrational hate for the West, is in fact an emerging superpower, a twenty-first-century country that considers itself ready to take on the West. Baer has been an observer of Iran for three decades, as a CIA operative and (more recently) as an accredited journalist, and he knows whereof he speaks. His portrait of Iran as a country full of contradictions, of Old World beliefs mixed with New World sexual mores and pop culture, will prompt a startling paradigm shift, at least for those accustomed to writing Iran off as an Islamofascist state.And his explanation that Iran isnt merely daydreaming, that it could not only wage a war against the U.S. but win, is both plausible and chilling. The U.S. had better get to know the real Iran quickly, Baer concludes, or suffer the consequences.(Reprinted with permission of Booklist, copyright 2008, American Library Association.)

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